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Name: Bert Bruner
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Predicting Elections

According to one of today’s Drudge Report headlines, we should be shocked that Barron’s Magazine would suggest the possibility that the Republicans could hold on to a majority of both houses. Two weeks ago, it was a forgone conclusion that the Democrats were in for a real shellacking.

The media seems to think that a critical mass of voters have such short memories that by manipulating the way this weeks news is reported, they can control the outcome of an election. It makes sense for them to feel that way. Since the late 60’s their philosophy has been gradually morphing from “All the news that’s fit to print” to “I’m going to change the world.” They’ve now progressed so far down that path that they’ve even fooled themselves into believing that what they report is actually what happened.

And then there’re the pollsters who think that, even when they don’t have a clue what 100 million voters are thinking, they can anticipate which multiple choice questions when ask to .00001% of those people will the illuminate the thoughts of all of them. And of course nobody has ever designed poll questions to provide the conclusion that the guy paying for the poll wants. (And who can’t guess what the liberal media wants?)

Oh and let’s not forget the stories (like Mark Foley) that just weren’t important a year ago, but must be published right before an election. And of course, most Democrats, who have never been afraid to believe whatever “feels right”, are likely to accept whatever favorable rumor gets started. Then last, but not least, are the Republicans who still think that their being in charge is too good to be true and are willing to concede at the drop of a hat.

Put all this together and what do you have? Well, whatever it is, it bears no resemblance to a reliable prediction of the outcome of the election.

So what’s left? Do what you were probably planning to do anyway. Think it through and cast your ballot based on your understanding of what’s best for the country, your family and yourself. Then wait for the results.

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